Residential · city

Dawsonville market report

Closed sales series. Latest median $430,000 (-4.4% YoY). Buyer-leaning on live supply.

Closed sales through 2026-10. Live inventory is a current snapshot, not the closed month. 254 active · 9 under contract · 25 pending. Total residential listings by status: 288.

Data confidence: High. 629 closings in the last 12 months. Enough closings to read a trend.

Latest median$430,000-4.4% YoY
Months of supply8.5Buyer-leaning · 4.8 on 52/mo trailing-12
$/SF$217+9.3% YoY
DOM27-15.6% YoY
Sale/list98.3%63.3% below

Versus the broader market

Latest closed month only, not the 12-month figure above. The Georgia footprint is the macro context.

Median price+8.9%$430,000 vs $395,000 market-wide
$/SF+17.0%$217 vs $186 market-wide
DOM-21%27 days vs 34 market-wide
Sale/list-0.4 pts98.3% vs 98.7%

Opportunity score

0–100. Higher means more room for a buyer right now. Price change uses the 3-month median, not one month. Each part is scored 0–100, then weighted. Includes live supply and demand. Screening tool, not a forecast.

80
Buyer window

3-month volume-weighted median $429,615 (-9.9% vs same 3 months last year) on 130 closings. Latest month is $430,000. Confidence: Moderate (130 closings in 3 months).

3-month $/SF is up 2.6% versus the same 3 months last year. Median and $/SF are moving apart. That is usually a change in what sold, not pure appreciation or depreciation.

Months of supply95
8.5 months · 25% of the score

Active homes divided by last month’s closings. Under 4 favors sellers. Above 6 gives buyers more choices and more room.

YoY price77
-9.9% · 20% of the score

3-month volume-weighted median versus the same 3 months a year ago. One month cannot swing this. A rising median with falling $/SF is usually mix, not appreciation.

New / closed95
2.37 · 20% of the score

New listings in 30 days versus last month’s closings. Above 1.2 means inventory is building. That usually softens the next 30–90 days.

Pending / (active + under contract)90
0.10 · 15% of the score

Pending divided by active plus under contract. Not pending divided by active alone. Low means demand is not absorbing the stock.

Price reduced67
40% · 10% of the score

Share of recent closings that had already cut the list price. High means sellers are adjusting. That is where negotiation usually appears.

DOM trend20
-24.7% · 10% of the score

Direction of days on market over the last 6 months, not the current DOM. A low score here means DOM is falling, which favors sellers even if supply is high.

Buyer-leaning

8.5 months of supply on last month’s pace (254 active ÷ 30 closings). 4.8 months on the trailing-12 pace (average 52 closings a month). These are different windows.Buyers have more room, especially on homes that have sat past 30 days. 63.3% of last month’s closings were below list. Days on market are down 16% from a year ago.

Homes for sale in Dawsonville, GA →

How homes actually closed

Above list10.0%More than 1% over list
At list26.7%Within 1% of list
Below list63.3%More than 1% under list
Price reduced40.0%Original list higher than final

Leading signals

These move before closed prices. Use them to see if the next 30–60 days look tighter or looser than last month’s closings.

Pending / (active + under contract)0.1025 pending ÷ 263 (active + under contract)
New / closed2.3771 listed in 30 days vs 30 closed
Loosening

More homes are coming on than are selling. If pendings do not pick up, sellers lose leverage.

If you own in Dawsonville

High confidence. 629 closings in the last 12 months.

  • This is the market your home sits in. It is too broad to be your only comp, and too local to ignore.
  • City median is $430,000. Price your home off the neighborhood or school district, then check that it still makes sense against this number.
  • 8.5 months of supply. Median days on market 27. That is how long a correctly priced listing is taking.
  • If you are deciding whether to list, the useful question is what is for sale on your street and in your school district, not the citywide median. Homes for sale in Dawsonville, GA →

What this means if you are listing in Dawsonville

  • Price to the closed median and $/SF here ($430,000, $217), not the market-wide number. This market is above the broader market by 8.9% on median.
  • With 8.5 months of supply, expect about 27 days on market if priced correctly. Longer than that usually means the market is telling you the price is high.
  • 63.3% of recent closings were below list and 40.0% of listings had already reduced. Concessions show up more on listings that have already sat.
  • Check live inventory for the actual competition before you set the number. Homes for sale in Dawsonville, GA →

What this means if you are making an offer

  • Supply is elevated. You have more room than in a seller’s market, especially on homes past 30 days.
  • Your better leverage is on homes that have been listed 30+ days or have already reduced. About 40.0% of recent closings had a price reduction.
  • Confirm the number against the neighborhood or ZIP page, not just the city or market-wide median.
  • Closed prices lag 30–90 days. Confirm current supply on the inventory page before you assume the temperature has not shifted.

Live inventory mix

Current listings by price band and property type. Where the competition actually is right now.

Price bands

BandListedShare
Under $300k175.9%
$300–500k13847.9%
$500–750k6321.9%
$750k–1M3512.2%
$1M+3512.2%

Property types

TypeListedMedian ask
Single Family Residence247$518,000
Townhouse40$366,945
Condominium1$565,000

254 active, 9 under contract, 25 pending. 71 new in the last 30 days.

Median close price

Median close price · 2021-11 – 2026-10
2021-112026-10

Monthly series

Most recent months first. Medians require at least 5 closings in the month.

MonthClosedMedian$/SFDOMSale/listBelowReduced
Oct 202630$430,000$2172798.3%63.3%40.0%
Sep 202644$422,500$1912799.1%47.7%40.9%
Aug 202656$435,000$1983599.2%48.2%37.5%
Jul 202649$405,400$2056298.0%63.3%65.3%
Jun 202651$425,000$2101999.2%47.1%19.6%
May 202650$424,000$1953798.6%63.3%38.0%
Apr 202668$402,450$2062698.9%51.5%38.2%
Mar 202670$445,000$1863698.7%54.3%44.3%
Feb 202643$435,000$1822798.5%60.5%30.2%
Jan 202635$395,000$1984697.5%65.7%40.0%
Dec 202583$430,000$1814098.4%56.6%59.0%
Nov 202550$485,000$2114799.2%50.0%52.0%
Oct 202563$449,900$1993298.4%55.6%33.3%
Sep 202563$488,275$1863998.5%55.6%46.0%
Aug 202545$498,400$2023098.9%53.3%46.7%
Jul 202554$415,000$1973499.1%50.0%44.4%
Jun 202569$450,000$1942999.2%49.3%33.3%
May 202557$495,000$2012899.0%50.9%42.1%
Apr 202553$465,000$1932099.1%49.1%30.2%
Mar 202553$483,000$1952399.6%47.2%28.3%
Feb 202551$471,990$1893698.9%56.9%37.3%
Jan 202541$464,900$18633100.0%41.5%46.3%
Dec 202460$468,990$2032797.9%61.7%50.0%
Nov 202438$425,495$1913698.9%52.6%39.5%

Below = closed under 99% of list. Reduced = original list higher than final list.

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