Residential · city

Fairburn market report

Closed sales series. Latest median $345,000 (+6.2% YoY). Balanced on live supply.

Closed sales through 2026-10. Live inventory is a current snapshot, not the closed month. 178 active · 8 under contract · 47 pending. Total residential listings by status: 233.

Data confidence: High. 474 closings in the last 12 months. Enough closings to read a trend.

Latest median$345,000+6.2% YoY
Months of supply5.4Balanced · 4.5 on 40/mo trailing-12
$/SF$156+11.0% YoY
DOM45+4.7% YoY
Sale/list100.0%30.3% below

Versus the broader market

Latest closed month only, not the 12-month figure above. The Georgia footprint is the macro context.

Median price-12.7%$345,000 vs $395,000 market-wide
$/SF-16.0%$156 vs $186 market-wide
DOM+32%45 days vs 34 market-wide
Sale/list+1.3 pts100.0% vs 98.7%

Opportunity score

0–100. Higher means more room for a buyer right now. Price change uses the 3-month median, not one month. Each part is scored 0–100, then weighted. Includes live supply and demand. Screening tool, not a forecast.

61
Softening

3-month volume-weighted median $350,504 (+1.1% vs same 3 months last year) on 122 closings. Latest month is $345,000. Confidence: Moderate (122 closings in 3 months).

3-month $/SF is up 2.1% versus the same 3 months last year.

Months of supply51
5.4 months · 25% of the score

Active homes divided by last month’s closings. Under 4 favors sellers. Above 6 gives buyers more choices and more room.

YoY price37
+1.1% · 20% of the score

3-month volume-weighted median versus the same 3 months a year ago. One month cannot swing this. A rising median with falling $/SF is usually mix, not appreciation.

New / closed67
1.45 · 20% of the score

New listings in 30 days versus last month’s closings. Above 1.2 means inventory is building. That usually softens the next 30–90 days.

Pending / (active + under contract)73
0.25 · 15% of the score

Pending divided by active plus under contract. Not pending divided by active alone. Low means demand is not absorbing the stock.

Price reduced79
45% · 10% of the score

Share of recent closings that had already cut the list price. High means sellers are adjusting. That is where negotiation usually appears.

DOM trend90
+52.1% · 10% of the score

Direction of days on market over the last 6 months, not the current DOM. A low score here means DOM is falling, which favors sellers even if supply is high.

Balanced

5.4 months of supply on last month’s pace (178 active ÷ 33 closings). 4.5 months on the trailing-12 pace (average 40 closings a month). These are different windows.Balanced. Buyers have choices; well-priced homes still close close to list. 30.3% of last month’s closings were below list. Days on market are up 5% from a year ago.

Homes for sale in Fairburn, GA →

How homes actually closed

Above list21.2%More than 1% over list
At list48.5%Within 1% of list
Below list30.3%More than 1% under list
Price reduced45.5%Original list higher than final

Leading signals

These move before closed prices. Use them to see if the next 30–60 days look tighter or looser than last month’s closings.

Pending / (active + under contract)0.2547 pending ÷ 186 (active + under contract)
New / closed1.4548 listed in 30 days vs 33 closed
Softening

New listings are outpacing sales and closed sales are already taking longer or reducing more. Expect more inventory and more negotiating room over the next 30–90 days.

If you own in Fairburn

High confidence. 474 closings in the last 12 months.

  • This is the market your home sits in. It is too broad to be your only comp, and too local to ignore.
  • City median is $345,000. Price your home off the neighborhood or school district, then check that it still makes sense against this number.
  • 5.4 months of supply. Median days on market 45. That is how long a correctly priced listing is taking.
  • If you are deciding whether to list, the useful question is what is for sale on your street and in your school district, not the citywide median. Homes for sale in Fairburn, GA →

What this means if you are listing in Fairburn

  • Price to the closed median and $/SF here ($345,000, $156), not the market-wide number. This market is below the broader market by 12.7% on median.
  • With 5.4 months of supply, expect about 45 days on market if priced correctly. Longer than that usually means the market is telling you the price is high.
  • 30.3% of recent closings were below list and 45.5% of listings had already reduced. Concessions show up more on listings that have already sat.
  • Check live inventory for the actual competition before you set the number. Homes for sale in Fairburn, GA →

What this means if you are making an offer

  • Well-priced homes still close close to list; your better leverage is on homes that have sat.
  • Your better leverage is on homes that have been listed 30+ days or have already reduced. About 45.5% of recent closings had a price reduction.
  • This micro-market diverges from the broader market by 13%. Do not use the statewide median as your comp base.
  • Closed prices lag 30–90 days. Confirm current supply on the inventory page before you assume the temperature has not shifted.

Live inventory mix

Current listings by price band and property type. Where the competition actually is right now.

Price bands

BandListedShare
Under $300k7431.8%
$300–500k13959.7%
$500–750k93.9%
$750k–1M31.3%
$1M+83.4%

Property types

TypeListedMedian ask
Single Family Residence175$375,000
Townhouse58$280,900

178 active, 8 under contract, 47 pending. 48 new in the last 30 days.

Median close price

Median close price · 2021-11 – 2026-10
2021-112026-10

Monthly series

Most recent months first. Medians require at least 5 closings in the month.

MonthClosedMedian$/SFDOMSale/listBelowReduced
Oct 202633$345,000$15645100.0%30.3%45.5%
Sep 202641$345,000$1563098.9%51.2%39.0%
Aug 202648$358,990$15033100.0%37.5%39.6%
Jul 202645$350,000$15425100.0%20.0%33.3%
Jun 202661$369,990$15322100.0%34.4%42.6%
May 202634$385,000$15324100.0%44.1%23.5%
Apr 202638$352,500$15528100.0%39.5%39.5%
Mar 202645$369,000$1513398.9%51.1%24.4%
Feb 202627$375,000$1626199.8%40.7%48.1%
Jan 202634$330,000$1574899.8%32.4%44.1%
Dec 202542$354,997$1553299.6%40.5%52.4%
Nov 202526$352,495$14528100.0%34.6%30.8%
Oct 202547$324,990$1404399.0%48.9%53.2%
Sep 202548$336,250$1613598.9%50.0%45.8%
Aug 202553$375,000$15047100.0%32.1%50.9%
Jul 202542$355,000$14741100.0%40.5%47.6%
Jun 202550$359,167$1493799.9%34.0%38.0%
May 202555$348,990$15339100.0%29.1%41.8%
Apr 202546$372,775$14546100.0%26.1%45.7%
Mar 202541$343,990$14340100.0%39.0%53.7%
Feb 202536$343,500$1445199.9%44.4%36.1%
Jan 202529$330,990$1612999.2%44.8%20.7%
Dec 202448$350,495$16149100.0%29.2%50.0%
Nov 202441$325,000$15932100.0%31.7%36.6%

Below = closed under 99% of list. Reduced = original list higher than final list.

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