Residential · neighborhood

Chestnut Lake market report

Neighborhood series. Most months are too thin for a median. 16 closings in the last 12 months. Use Lithonia as the pricing context.

Closed sales through 2026-09. Live inventory is a current snapshot, not the closed month. 2 active · 0 under contract · 2 pending. Total residential listings by status: 4.

Data confidence: Low. 16 closings in the last 12 months. Too thin for a monthly read. Use live inventory and the surrounding market.

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12-month closings16Enough to sketch a range
12-month median$236,156Volume-weighted, not one month
12-month $/SF$147Better than the median here
Live active22.0 months of supply
12-month DOM7131.3% below list

How to read a neighborhood

A subdivision with a handful of sales a year cannot support the same report as a ZIP or a school. The numbers below are a trailing year, not a monthly market.

  • 16 homes closed here in the last 12 months. That is enough to sketch a price range.
  • Ignore a single month’s median. One luxury sale or one starter home moves it by six figures.
  • Price off Lithonia, then adjust for this subdivision’s size, age, and condition.
  • 2 homes are active right now. That live list is more useful than last month’s median. Homes for sale in Chestnut Lake, Lithonia →

Versus the broader market

Latest closed month only, not the 12-month figure above. The Georgia footprint is the macro context.

Median price-44.3%$220,000 vs $395,000 market-wide
$/SF-15.2%$157 vs $186 market-wide
DOM-91%3 days vs 34 market-wide
Sale/list+3.0 pts101.6% vs 98.7%
Seller-leaning

2.0 months of supply on last month’s pace (2 active ÷ 1 closings). 1.5 months on the trailing-12 pace (average 1 closings a month). These are different windows.Sellers have leverage on well-priced homes. 0.0% of last month’s closings were below list. Days on market are down 95% from a year ago.

Homes for sale in Chestnut Lake, Lithonia →

How homes actually closed

Based on 1 closings. One sale moves these percentages by 100 points. Read the direction, not the exact share.

Above list100.0%More than 1% over list
At list0.0%Within 1% of list
Below list0.0%More than 1% under list
Price reduced0.0%Original list higher than final

Leading signals

These move before closed prices. Use them to see if the next 30–60 days look tighter or looser than last month’s closings.

Pending / (active + under contract)1.002 pending ÷ 2 (active + under contract)
New / closed0.000 listed in 30 days vs 1 closed

If you own in Chestnut Lake

Low confidence. 16 closings in the last 12 months.

  • Your subdivision is a competitive set, not a market index. The trailing-year median is $236,156.
  • Start with Lithonia, then adjust for lot, size, age, and condition.
  • 2 homes are competing with yours right now. That live list matters more than last month’s median. Homes for sale in Chestnut Lake, Lithonia →
  • Homes that sold in the last year took about 71 days. If you list, price to the 12-month $/SF ($147), not a single recent sale.

What this means if you are listing in Chestnut Lake

  • Price to the 12-month median and $/SF ($236,156, $147), not last month and not the market-wide number. Then check it against Lithonia.
  • 2.0 months of supply on last month’s pace. Homes that sold in the last year took about 71 days. Longer than the 12-month DOM usually means the price is high.
  • 31.3% of the last 12 months’ closings were below list. 50.0% had already reduced. Read that as a year, not as last month’s three sales.
  • The live list is the competition. Homes for sale in Chestnut Lake, Lithonia →

What this means if you are making an offer

  • Well-priced homes can still move. Your better leverage is on homes that have sat.
  • 50.0% of the last year’s closings had already reduced. That is where the negotiation is.
  • Do not use the market-wide median. Start with Lithonia, then this subdivision’s 12-month $/SF.
  • Last month had 1 closings. One sale does not make a market. Confirm on the live list. Homes for sale in Chestnut Lake, Lithonia →

Live inventory mix

Current listings by price band and property type. Where the competition actually is right now.

Price bands

BandListedShare
Under $300k4100.0%

Property types

TypeListedMedian ask
Single Family Residence4$192,500

2 active, 0 under contract, 2 pending. 0 new in the last 30 days.

Median close price

Median close price · 2021-11 – 2026-09
2021-112026-09

Monthly series

Most recent months first. Neighborhood medians show with 1+ closings. One sale moves the number; use the 12-month figure for context.

MonthClosedMedian$/SFDOMSale/listBelowReduced
Sep 20261$220,000$1573101.6%0.0%0.0%
May 20261$225,000$1165102.3%0.0%0.0%
Jan 20261$205,000$135281102.6%0.0%100.0%
Dec 20253$215,000$131107100.0%33.3%66.7%
Nov 20251$204,000$13414692.7%100.0%100.0%
Oct 20252$241,250$1423197.6%50.0%50.0%
Jun 20251$244,000$1754100.0%0.0%0.0%
Apr 20251$260,000$1588898.1%100.0%100.0%
Feb 20251$225,000$16211497.8%100.0%100.0%
Dec 20241$265,000$14711100.0%0.0%0.0%
Nov 20242$276,500$16420101.4%0.0%0.0%
Oct 20241$250,000$15855104.2%0.0%100.0%
Sep 20242$270,000$14655103.0%0.0%50.0%
Jul 20241$171,000$11018114.1%0.0%0.0%
Jun 20241$242,000$111132101.3%0.0%100.0%
Apr 20241$260,000$1546105.3%0.0%0.0%
Nov 20231$250,000$17013103.1%0.0%0.0%
Aug 20231$232,000$146142101.8%0.0%100.0%
Jun 20233$250,000$1673100.0%33.3%0.0%
May 20231$236,250$1431995.5%100.0%100.0%
Jan 20231$257,000$15710100.8%0.0%0.0%
Dec 20221$285,000$17448100.0%0.0%100.0%
Sep 20221$266,000$1663104.3%0.0%0.0%
Aug 20222$267,500$1742096.6%50.0%50.0%

Below = closed under 99% of list. Reduced = original list higher than final list.

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