Residential · neighborhood

Smoke Rise market report

Neighborhood series. Most months are too thin for a median. 13 closings in the last 12 months. Use Smoke Rise as the pricing context.

Closed sales through 2026-09. Live inventory is a current snapshot, not the closed month.

Data confidence: Low. 13 closings in the last 12 months. Too thin for a monthly read. Use live inventory and the surrounding market.

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12-month closings13Enough to sketch a range
12-month median$543,158Volume-weighted, not one month
12-month $/SF$191Better than the median here
Live activen/aWhat is for sale now
12-month DOM5438.5% below list

How to read a neighborhood

A subdivision with a handful of sales a year cannot support the same report as a ZIP or a school. The numbers below are a trailing year, not a monthly market.

  • 13 homes closed here in the last 12 months. That is enough to sketch a price range.
  • Ignore a single month’s median. One luxury sale or one starter home moves it by six figures.
  • Price off Smoke Rise, then adjust for this subdivision’s size, age, and condition.
  • Check live inventory before you price or offer. Homes for sale in Smoke Rise, Smoke Rise →

Versus the broader market

Latest closed month only, not the 12-month figure above. The Georgia footprint is the macro context.

Median price+6.1%$419,000 vs $395,000 market-wide
$/SF+35.5%$252 vs $186 market-wide
DOM+97%67 days vs 34 market-wide
Sale/list+1.1 pts99.8% vs 98.7%

How homes actually closed

Based on 1 closings. One sale moves these percentages by 100 points. Read the direction, not the exact share.

Above list0.0%More than 1% over list
At list100.0%Within 1% of list
Below list0.0%More than 1% under list
Price reduced100.0%Original list higher than final

If you own in Smoke Rise

Low confidence. 13 closings in the last 12 months.

  • Your subdivision is a competitive set, not a market index. The trailing-year median is $543,158.
  • Start with Smoke Rise, then adjust for lot, size, age, and condition.
  • Check what is listed before you decide to sell. That live list matters more than last month’s median. Homes for sale in Smoke Rise, Smoke Rise →
  • Homes that sold in the last year took about 54 days. If you list, price to the 12-month $/SF ($191), not a single recent sale.

What this means if you are listing in Smoke Rise

  • Price to the 12-month median and $/SF ($543,158, $191), not last month and not the market-wide number. Then check it against Smoke Rise.
  • Homes that sold in the last year took about 54 days. Longer than the 12-month DOM usually means the price is high.
  • 38.5% of the last 12 months’ closings were below list. 61.5% had already reduced. Read that as a year, not as last month’s three sales.
  • The live list is the competition. Homes for sale in Smoke Rise, Smoke Rise →

What this means if you are making an offer

  • Well-priced homes can still move. Your better leverage is on homes that have sat.
  • 61.5% of the last year’s closings had already reduced. That is where the negotiation is.
  • Do not use the market-wide median. Start with Smoke Rise, then this subdivision’s 12-month $/SF.
  • Last month had 1 closings. One sale does not make a market. Confirm on the live list. Homes for sale in Smoke Rise, Smoke Rise →

Median close price

Median close price · 2021-12 – 2026-09
2021-122026-09

Monthly series

Most recent months first. Neighborhood medians show with 1+ closings. One sale moves the number; use the 12-month figure for context.

MonthClosedMedian$/SFDOMSale/listBelowReduced
Sep 20261$419,000$2526799.8%0.0%100.0%
Jul 20261$385,000$1036977.0%100.0%100.0%
Jun 20261$600,000$2333100.0%0.0%0.0%
May 20261$799,900$20135100.0%0.0%100.0%
Mar 20261$475,000$221118100.0%0.0%100.0%
Nov 20252$553,625$2145102.7%50.0%0.0%
May 20251$450,000$1383078.4%100.0%100.0%
Apr 20251$550,000$1988099.1%0.0%100.0%
Feb 20251$465,000$14417980.9%100.0%100.0%
Nov 20241$490,000$14410889.1%100.0%100.0%
Sep 20241$579,900$2044100.0%0.0%0.0%
Jul 20241$740,000$2104102.1%0.0%0.0%
Mar 20241$1,250,000$1836991.4%100.0%0.0%
Feb 20241$480,000$2083100.0%0.0%0.0%
Jan 20241$625,000$1668996.2%100.0%100.0%
Dec 20231$550,000$1363495.7%100.0%100.0%
Nov 20231$517,000$2246112.6%0.0%100.0%
Jun 20231$714,500$1597191.6%100.0%0.0%
May 20231$502,500$1882101.5%0.0%0.0%
Mar 20231$475,000$17814599.2%0.0%100.0%
Feb 20231$538,999$1594198.2%100.0%100.0%
Jan 20231$530,000$2064101.0%0.0%0.0%
Dec 20222$522,000$1521497.9%100.0%0.0%
Nov 20222$610,000$1345499.1%50.0%100.0%

Below = closed under 99% of list. Reduced = original list higher than final list.

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