Residential · county

Walton market report

Closed sales series. Latest median $430,000 (+8.2% YoY). Buyer-leaning on live supply.

Closed sales through 2026-10. Live inventory is a current snapshot, not the closed month. 516 active · 23 under contract · 79 pending. Total residential listings by status: 618.

Data confidence: High. 1,172 closings in the last 12 months. Enough closings to read a trend.

Latest median$430,000+8.2% YoY
Months of supply7.5Buyer-leaning · 5.3 on 98/mo trailing-12
$/SF$185+0.2% YoY
DOM40+14.3% YoY
Sale/list100.0%40.6% below

Versus the broader market

Latest closed month only, not the 12-month figure above. The Georgia footprint is the macro context.

Median price+8.9%$430,000 vs $395,000 market-wide
$/SF-0.2%$185 vs $186 market-wide
DOM+18%40 days vs 34 market-wide
Sale/list+1.3 pts100.0% vs 98.7%

Opportunity score

0–100. Higher means more room for a buyer right now. Price change uses the 3-month median, not one month. Each part is scored 0–100, then weighted. Includes live supply and demand. Screening tool, not a forecast.

79
Buyer window

3-month volume-weighted median $392,504 (-4.0% vs same 3 months last year) on 273 closings. Latest month is $430,000. Confidence: High (273 closings in 3 months).

3-month $/SF is down 1.4% versus the same 3 months last year.

Months of supply86
7.5 months · 25% of the score

Active homes divided by last month’s closings. Under 4 favors sellers. Above 6 gives buyers more choices and more room.

YoY price55
-4.0% · 20% of the score

3-month volume-weighted median versus the same 3 months a year ago. One month cannot swing this. A rising median with falling $/SF is usually mix, not appreciation.

New / closed95
2.16 · 20% of the score

New listings in 30 days versus last month’s closings. Above 1.2 means inventory is building. That usually softens the next 30–90 days.

Pending / (active + under contract)90
0.15 · 15% of the score

Pending divided by active plus under contract. Not pending divided by active alone. Low means demand is not absorbing the stock.

Price reduced90
51% · 10% of the score

Share of recent closings that had already cut the list price. High means sellers are adjusting. That is where negotiation usually appears.

DOM trend53
+8.6% · 10% of the score

Direction of days on market over the last 6 months, not the current DOM. A low score here means DOM is falling, which favors sellers even if supply is high.

Buyer-leaning

7.5 months of supply on last month’s pace (516 active ÷ 69 closings). 5.3 months on the trailing-12 pace (average 98 closings a month). These are different windows.Buyers have more room, especially on homes that have sat past 30 days. 40.6% of last month’s closings were below list. Days on market are up 14% from a year ago.

Homes for sale in Walton County, GA →

How homes actually closed

Above list17.4%More than 1% over list
At list42.0%Within 1% of list
Below list40.6%More than 1% under list
Price reduced50.7%Original list higher than final

Leading signals

These move before closed prices. Use them to see if the next 30–60 days look tighter or looser than last month’s closings.

Pending / (active + under contract)0.1579 pending ÷ 539 (active + under contract)
New / closed2.16149 listed in 30 days vs 69 closed
Softening

New listings are outpacing sales and closed sales are already taking longer or reducing more. Expect more inventory and more negotiating room over the next 30–90 days.

If you own in Walton

High confidence. 1,172 closings in the last 12 months.

  • The county is context, not a price for your house. A county median blends starter homes and estates.
  • County median is $430,000. Use your city, school district, or subdivision for the number. Use the county to see if the broader market is tightening or loosening.
  • 7.5 months of supply countywide, 5.3 on the trailing-12 pace. The heading is softening. That tells you about leverage, not your home’s value.
  • Before you list or refinance against a number, pull the city and neighborhood pages and the live inventory. Homes for sale in Walton County, GA →

What this means if you are listing in Walton

  • Price to the closed median and $/SF here ($430,000, $185), not the market-wide number. This market is above the broader market by 8.9% on median.
  • With 7.5 months of supply, expect about 40 days on market if priced correctly. Longer than that usually means the market is telling you the price is high.
  • 40.6% of recent closings were below list and 50.7% of listings had already reduced. Concessions show up more on listings that have already sat.
  • Check live inventory for the actual competition before you set the number. Homes for sale in Walton County, GA →

What this means if you are making an offer

  • Supply is elevated. You have more room than in a seller’s market, especially on homes past 30 days.
  • Your better leverage is on homes that have been listed 30+ days or have already reduced. About 50.7% of recent closings had a price reduction.
  • Confirm the number against the neighborhood or ZIP page, not just the city or market-wide median.
  • Closed prices lag 30–90 days. Confirm current supply on the inventory page before you assume the temperature has not shifted.

Live inventory mix

Current listings by price band and property type. Where the competition actually is right now.

Price bands

BandListedShare
Under $300k6911.2%
$300–500k29247.2%
$500–750k17728.6%
$750k–1M345.5%
$1M+467.4%

Property types

TypeListedMedian ask
Single Family Residence597$470,000
Townhouse21$296,990

516 active, 23 under contract, 79 pending. 149 new in the last 30 days.

Median close price

Median close price · 2021-11 – 2026-10
2021-112026-10

Monthly series

Most recent months first. Medians require at least 5 closings in the month.

MonthClosedMedian$/SFDOMSale/listBelowReduced
Oct 202669$430,000$18540100.0%40.6%50.7%
Sep 202695$365,000$1864699.1%49.5%47.4%
Aug 2026109$392,740$1874098.8%50.9%33.9%
Jul 2026121$437,500$1894999.2%47.5%45.5%
Jun 2026124$435,000$1884099.9%46.0%38.7%
May 2026108$380,000$19127100.0%39.8%37.0%
Apr 2026113$443,000$18334100.0%36.6%35.4%
Mar 202693$400,000$1892898.6%57.6%37.6%
Feb 2026107$420,000$1986099.1%47.7%45.8%
Jan 202651$378,000$1835598.3%58.8%47.1%
Dec 202594$439,500$1853598.8%52.1%31.9%
Nov 202588$417,000$2032999.2%50.0%44.3%
Oct 2025117$397,500$1853599.0%50.9%39.3%
Sep 202583$440,000$1874199.1%48.8%49.4%
Aug 2025106$396,750$1964399.2%47.1%42.5%
Jul 2025107$440,000$1892999.6%43.9%34.6%
Jun 2025105$385,000$19022100.0%41.0%40.0%
May 2025121$430,000$18625100.0%36.7%42.1%
Apr 2025118$403,750$18244100.0%40.7%39.0%
Mar 2025100$415,000$1935699.8%37.0%45.0%
Feb 202573$455,000$1904298.7%52.1%39.7%
Jan 202574$412,450$1864698.8%51.4%41.9%
Dec 202497$400,000$1843199.7%46.4%42.3%
Nov 202477$418,000$1903699.1%49.4%50.6%

Below = closed under 99% of list. Reduced = original list higher than final list.