Residential · neighborhood

Shepherds Pond market report

Neighborhood series. Most months are too thin for a median. 17 closings in the last 12 months. Use Alpharetta as the pricing context.

Closed sales through 2026-09. Live inventory is a current snapshot, not the closed month. 1 active · 0 under contract · 1 pending. Total residential listings by status: 2.

Data confidence: Low. 17 closings in the last 12 months. Too thin for a monthly read. Use live inventory and the surrounding market.

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12-month closings17Enough to sketch a range
12-month median$589,029Volume-weighted, not one month
12-month $/SF$230Better than the median here
Live active10.3 months of supply
12-month DOM2241.2% below list

How to read a neighborhood

A subdivision with a handful of sales a year cannot support the same report as a ZIP or a school. The numbers below are a trailing year, not a monthly market.

  • 17 homes closed here in the last 12 months. That is enough to sketch a price range.
  • Ignore a single month’s median. One luxury sale or one starter home moves it by six figures.
  • Price off Alpharetta, then adjust for this subdivision’s size, age, and condition.
  • 1 homes are active right now. That live list is more useful than last month’s median. Homes for sale in Shepherds Pond, Alpharetta →

Versus the broader market

Latest closed month only, not the 12-month figure above. The Georgia footprint is the macro context.

Median price+50.6%$595,000 vs $395,000 market-wide
$/SF+1.9%$189 vs $186 market-wide
DOM-88%4 days vs 34 market-wide
Sale/list+1.3 pts100.0% vs 98.7%
Seller-leaning

0.3 months of supply on last month’s pace (1 active ÷ 3 closings). 0.7 months on the trailing-12 pace (average 1 closings a month). These are different windows.Sellers have leverage on well-priced homes. 33.3% of last month’s closings were below list. Days on market are down 20% from a year ago.

Homes for sale in Shepherds Pond, Alpharetta →

How homes actually closed

Based on 3 closings. One sale moves these percentages by 33 points. Read the direction, not the exact share.

Above list33.3%More than 1% over list
At list33.3%Within 1% of list
Below list33.3%More than 1% under list
Price reduced0.0%Original list higher than final

Leading signals

These move before closed prices. Use them to see if the next 30–60 days look tighter or looser than last month’s closings.

Pending / (active + under contract)1.001 pending ÷ 1 (active + under contract)
New / closed0.000 listed in 30 days vs 3 closed

If you own in Shepherds Pond

Low confidence. 17 closings in the last 12 months.

  • Your subdivision is a competitive set, not a market index. The trailing-year median is $589,029.
  • Start with Alpharetta, then adjust for lot, size, age, and condition.
  • 1 homes are competing with yours right now. That live list matters more than last month’s median. Homes for sale in Shepherds Pond, Alpharetta →
  • Homes that sold in the last year took about 22 days. If you list, price to the 12-month $/SF ($230), not a single recent sale.

What this means if you are listing in Shepherds Pond

  • Price to the 12-month median and $/SF ($589,029, $230), not last month and not the market-wide number. Then check it against Alpharetta.
  • 0.3 months of supply on last month’s pace. Homes that sold in the last year took about 22 days. Longer than the 12-month DOM usually means the price is high.
  • 41.2% of the last 12 months’ closings were below list. 29.4% had already reduced. Read that as a year, not as last month’s three sales.
  • The live list is the competition. Homes for sale in Shepherds Pond, Alpharetta →

What this means if you are making an offer

  • Well-priced homes can still move. Your better leverage is on homes that have sat.
  • 29.4% of the last year’s closings had already reduced. That is where the negotiation is.
  • Do not use the market-wide median. Start with Alpharetta, then this subdivision’s 12-month $/SF.
  • Last month had 3 closings. One sale does not make a market. Confirm on the live list. Homes for sale in Shepherds Pond, Alpharetta →

Live inventory mix

Current listings by price band and property type. Where the competition actually is right now.

Price bands

BandListedShare
$300–500k150.0%
$500–750k150.0%

Property types

TypeListedMedian ask
Single Family Residence2$562,500

1 active, 0 under contract, 1 pending. 0 new in the last 30 days.

Median close price

Median close price · 2022-01 – 2026-09
2022-012026-09

Monthly series

Most recent months first. Neighborhood medians show with 1+ closings. One sale moves the number; use the 12-month figure for context.

MonthClosedMedian$/SFDOMSale/listBelowReduced
Sep 20263$595,000$1894100.0%33.3%0.0%
May 20261$652,500$194398.1%100.0%0.0%
Dec 20251$555,000$27246100.9%0.0%100.0%
Nov 20251$495,000$2745797.1%100.0%0.0%
Oct 20251$525,000$27237100.0%0.0%100.0%
Sep 20251$595,000$258799.2%0.0%0.0%
Jul 20251$504,000$24735100.8%0.0%0.0%
Jun 20253$636,000$23514100.0%33.3%33.3%
Dec 20242$615,000$2353898.8%50.0%50.0%
Oct 20241$599,000$2572100.0%0.0%0.0%
Jul 20241$615,000$1871996.1%100.0%0.0%
Jun 20241$550,000$2053995.7%100.0%100.0%
Apr 20241$640,000$2715106.7%0.0%0.0%
Feb 20242$612,000$2933497.2%100.0%50.0%
Oct 20231$607,250$2462798.7%100.0%0.0%
Sep 20231$530,000$2543101.0%0.0%0.0%
Jul 20231$610,000$2649101.7%0.0%0.0%
Feb 20231$550,000$174395.7%100.0%0.0%
Sep 20222$540,500$1706102.5%0.0%0.0%
Aug 20222$510,000$19832101.1%50.0%50.0%
May 20221$521,800$25914106.7%0.0%0.0%
Jan 20221$475,000$19921101.1%0.0%0.0%

Below = closed under 99% of list. Reduced = original list higher than final list.

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