Residential · neighborhood

Willow Leaf market report

Neighborhood series. Most months are too thin for a median. 15 closings in the last 12 months. Use Buford as the pricing context.

Closed sales through 2026-09. Live inventory is a current snapshot, not the closed month. 2 active · 1 under contract · 2 pending. Total residential listings by status: 5.

Data confidence: Low. 15 closings in the last 12 months. Too thin for a monthly read. Use live inventory and the surrounding market.

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12-month closings15Enough to sketch a range
12-month median$389,817Volume-weighted, not one month
12-month $/SF$173Better than the median here
Live active22.0 months of supply
12-month DOM3566.7% below list

How to read a neighborhood

A subdivision with a handful of sales a year cannot support the same report as a ZIP or a school. The numbers below are a trailing year, not a monthly market.

  • 15 homes closed here in the last 12 months. That is enough to sketch a price range.
  • Ignore a single month’s median. One luxury sale or one starter home moves it by six figures.
  • Price off Buford, then adjust for this subdivision’s size, age, and condition.
  • 2 homes are active right now. That live list is more useful than last month’s median. Homes for sale in Willow Leaf, Buford →

Versus the broader market

Latest closed month only, not the 12-month figure above. The Georgia footprint is the macro context.

Median price+1.0%$399,000 vs $395,000 market-wide
$/SF-9.2%$168 vs $186 market-wide
DOM-62%13 days vs 34 market-wide
Sale/list+1.3 pts100.0% vs 98.7%
Seller-leaning

2.0 months of supply on last month’s pace (2 active ÷ 1 closings). 1.6 months on the trailing-12 pace (average 1 closings a month). These are different windows.Sellers have leverage on well-priced homes. 0.0% of last month’s closings were below list. Days on market are up 86% from a year ago.

Homes for sale in Willow Leaf, Buford →

How homes actually closed

Based on 1 closings. One sale moves these percentages by 100 points. Read the direction, not the exact share.

Above list0.0%More than 1% over list
At list100.0%Within 1% of list
Below list0.0%More than 1% under list
Price reduced0.0%Original list higher than final

Leading signals

These move before closed prices. Use them to see if the next 30–60 days look tighter or looser than last month’s closings.

Pending / (active + under contract)0.672 pending ÷ 3 (active + under contract)
New / closed0.000 listed in 30 days vs 1 closed

If you own in Willow Leaf

Low confidence. 15 closings in the last 12 months.

  • Your subdivision is a competitive set, not a market index. The trailing-year median is $389,817.
  • Start with Buford, then adjust for lot, size, age, and condition.
  • 2 homes are competing with yours right now. That live list matters more than last month’s median. Homes for sale in Willow Leaf, Buford →
  • Homes that sold in the last year took about 35 days. If you list, price to the 12-month $/SF ($173), not a single recent sale.

What this means if you are listing in Willow Leaf

  • Price to the 12-month median and $/SF ($389,817, $173), not last month and not the market-wide number. Then check it against Buford.
  • 2.0 months of supply on last month’s pace. Homes that sold in the last year took about 35 days. Longer than the 12-month DOM usually means the price is high.
  • 66.7% of the last 12 months’ closings were below list. 53.3% had already reduced. Read that as a year, not as last month’s three sales.
  • The live list is the competition. Homes for sale in Willow Leaf, Buford →

What this means if you are making an offer

  • Well-priced homes can still move. Your better leverage is on homes that have sat.
  • 53.3% of the last year’s closings had already reduced. That is where the negotiation is.
  • Do not use the market-wide median. Start with Buford, then this subdivision’s 12-month $/SF.
  • Last month had 1 closings. One sale does not make a market. Confirm on the live list. Homes for sale in Willow Leaf, Buford →

Live inventory mix

Current listings by price band and property type. Where the competition actually is right now.

Price bands

BandListedShare
$300–500k5100.0%

Property types

TypeListedMedian ask
Single Family Residence5$384,500

2 active, 1 under contract, 2 pending. 0 new in the last 30 days.

Median close price

Median close price · 2021-11 – 2026-09
2021-112026-09

Monthly series

Most recent months first. Neighborhood medians show with 1+ closings. One sale moves the number; use the 12-month figure for context.

MonthClosedMedian$/SFDOMSale/listBelowReduced
Sep 20261$399,000$16813100.0%0.0%0.0%
Aug 20261$400,000$15497100.0%0.0%100.0%
Apr 20261$410,000$139496.5%100.0%0.0%
Mar 20261$375,000$1923297.4%100.0%100.0%
Feb 20262$381,500$1807199.1%50.0%100.0%
Jan 20262$390,000$1615097.5%100.0%50.0%
Nov 20251$351,000$1633396.2%100.0%100.0%
Aug 20251$395,000$165598.8%100.0%0.0%
Jul 20252$392,125$174699.8%50.0%0.0%
Jun 20251$390,000$2006102.6%0.0%0.0%
May 20251$380,000$1963597.4%100.0%100.0%
Jun 20241$420,000$1814096.6%100.0%100.0%
May 20241$370,000$194797.6%100.0%100.0%
Apr 20241$425,000$181198.8%100.0%0.0%
Mar 20241$450,000$1602101.1%0.0%0.0%
Jan 20241$403,000$1675296.0%100.0%0.0%
Dec 20231$442,000$13710899.3%0.0%100.0%
Nov 20232$415,000$16613100.0%0.0%50.0%
Jul 20232$417,500$1713100.6%50.0%0.0%
Jun 20232$415,000$1785100.0%0.0%0.0%
May 20231$365,000$1613297.3%100.0%0.0%
Mar 20233$390,000$1662997.9%100.0%100.0%
Feb 20234$367,500$1483498.3%75.0%50.0%
Jan 20231$392,000$1963294.6%100.0%100.0%

Below = closed under 99% of list. Reduced = original list higher than final list.

Related markets

Buford city trends →