Residential · neighborhood

Durham Lakes market report

Neighborhood series. Most months are too thin for a median. 13 closings in the last 12 months. Use Fairburn as the pricing context.

Closed sales through 2026-10. Live inventory is a current snapshot, not the closed month. 2 active · 0 under contract · 2 pending. Total residential listings by status: 4.

Data confidence: Low. 13 closings in the last 12 months. Too thin for a monthly read. Use live inventory and the surrounding market.

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12-month closings13Enough to sketch a range
12-month median$440,400Volume-weighted, not one month
12-month $/SF$130Better than the median here
Live active22.0 months of supply
12-month DOM5430.8% below list

How to read a neighborhood

A subdivision with a handful of sales a year cannot support the same report as a ZIP or a school. The numbers below are a trailing year, not a monthly market.

  • 13 homes closed here in the last 12 months. That is enough to sketch a price range.
  • Ignore a single month’s median. One luxury sale or one starter home moves it by six figures.
  • Price off Fairburn, then adjust for this subdivision’s size, age, and condition.
  • 2 homes are active right now. That live list is more useful than last month’s median. Homes for sale in Durham Lakes, Fairburn →

Versus the broader market

Latest closed month only, not the 12-month figure above. The Georgia footprint is the macro context.

Median price+19.0%$470,000 vs $395,000 market-wide
$/SF-46.4%$99 vs $186 market-wide
DOM+571%228 days vs 34 market-wide
Sale/list-1.7 pts96.9% vs 98.7%
Seller-leaning

2.0 months of supply on last month’s pace (2 active ÷ 1 closings). 1.8 months on the trailing-12 pace (average 1 closings a month). These are different windows.Sellers have leverage on well-priced homes. 100.0% of last month’s closings were below list. Days on market are up 1654% from a year ago.

Homes for sale in Durham Lakes, Fairburn →

How homes actually closed

Based on 1 closings. One sale moves these percentages by 100 points. Read the direction, not the exact share.

Above list0.0%More than 1% over list
At list0.0%Within 1% of list
Below list100.0%More than 1% under list
Price reduced100.0%Original list higher than final

Leading signals

These move before closed prices. Use them to see if the next 30–60 days look tighter or looser than last month’s closings.

Pending / (active + under contract)1.002 pending ÷ 2 (active + under contract)
New / closed1.001 listed in 30 days vs 1 closed
Cooling

Closed sales are taking longer or reducing more often. Seller pressure is rising.

If you own in Durham Lakes

Low confidence. 13 closings in the last 12 months.

  • Your subdivision is a competitive set, not a market index. The trailing-year median is $440,400.
  • Start with Fairburn, then adjust for lot, size, age, and condition.
  • 2 homes are competing with yours right now. That live list matters more than last month’s median. Homes for sale in Durham Lakes, Fairburn →
  • Homes that sold in the last year took about 54 days. If you list, price to the 12-month $/SF ($130), not a single recent sale.

What this means if you are listing in Durham Lakes

  • Price to the 12-month median and $/SF ($440,400, $130), not last month and not the market-wide number. Then check it against Fairburn.
  • 2.0 months of supply on last month’s pace. Homes that sold in the last year took about 54 days. Longer than the 12-month DOM usually means the price is high.
  • 30.8% of the last 12 months’ closings were below list. 30.8% had already reduced. Read that as a year, not as last month’s three sales.
  • The live list is the competition. Homes for sale in Durham Lakes, Fairburn →

What this means if you are making an offer

  • Well-priced homes can still move. Your better leverage is on homes that have sat.
  • 30.8% of the last year’s closings had already reduced. That is where the negotiation is.
  • Do not use the market-wide median. Start with Fairburn, then this subdivision’s 12-month $/SF.
  • Last month had 1 closings. One sale does not make a market. Confirm on the live list. Homes for sale in Durham Lakes, Fairburn →

Live inventory mix

Current listings by price band and property type. Where the competition actually is right now.

Price bands

BandListedShare
$300–500k4100.0%

Property types

TypeListedMedian ask
Single Family Residence4$425,000

2 active, 0 under contract, 2 pending. 1 new in the last 30 days.

Median close price

Median close price · 2021-11 – 2026-10
2021-112026-10

Monthly series

Most recent months first. Neighborhood medians show with 1+ closings. One sale moves the number; use the 12-month figure for context.

MonthClosedMedian$/SFDOMSale/listBelowReduced
Oct 20261$470,000$9922896.9%100.0%100.0%
Sep 20261$412,000$1264100.5%0.0%0.0%
Aug 20261$475,000$12130100.0%0.0%0.0%
Jul 20261$421,000$1511101.4%0.0%0.0%
Jun 20262$506,000$1305399.3%50.0%50.0%
May 20261$488,200$12736100.7%0.0%0.0%
Apr 20261$442,000$1205299.3%0.0%0.0%
Mar 20261$475,000$12273100.0%0.0%0.0%
Feb 20261$390,000$1295397.5%100.0%100.0%
Dec 20251$435,000$16427100.0%0.0%0.0%
Nov 20251$355,000$1459098.6%100.0%100.0%
Aug 20251$350,000$1237100.4%0.0%0.0%
Jun 20253$365,000$1251397.5%66.7%33.3%
Apr 20251$409,900$13830100.0%0.0%0.0%
Mar 20252$500,500$1338794.7%100.0%100.0%
Dec 20241$430,000$1624698.9%100.0%100.0%
Nov 20242$405,000$1323798.2%100.0%50.0%
Aug 20243$382,000$15040101.9%33.3%66.7%
Jun 20241$395,000$13725100.0%0.0%100.0%
Feb 20242$556,500$14667100.7%0.0%50.0%
Jan 20241$460,000$1176398.9%100.0%100.0%
Dec 20231$379,000$15028100.0%0.0%100.0%
Oct 20231$505,500$11916101.5%0.0%0.0%
Aug 20231$546,151$197366100.0%0.0%0.0%

Below = closed under 99% of list. Reduced = original list higher than final list.

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