Residential · high school district

Model High School district market report

Closed sales series. Latest median $302,500 (+7.1% YoY). Balanced on live supply.

Closed sales through 2026-10. Live inventory is a current snapshot, not the closed month. 48 active · 0 under contract · 6 pending. Total residential listings by status: 54.

Data confidence: High. 123 closings in the last 12 months. Enough closings to read a trend.

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Latest median$302,500+7.1% YoY
Months of supply6.0Balanced · 4.7 on 10/mo trailing-12
$/SF$161-7.0% YoY
DOM49+104.2% YoY
Sale/list98.5%62.5% below

Thin market: only 8 closings last month. Medians here move more than in larger cities. Confirm with the parent city or county before you price or offer.

Versus the broader market

Latest closed month only, not the 12-month figure above. The Georgia footprint is the macro context.

Median price-23.4%$302,500 vs $395,000 market-wide
$/SF-13.2%$161 vs $186 market-wide
DOM+44%49 days vs 34 market-wide
Sale/list-0.2 pts98.5% vs 98.7%

Opportunity score

0–100. Higher means more room for a buyer right now. Price change uses the 3-month median, not one month. Each part is scored 0–100, then weighted. Includes live supply and demand. Screening tool, not a forecast.

67
Softening

3-month volume-weighted median $290,177 (+17.6% vs same 3 months last year) on 26 closings. Latest month is $302,500. Confidence: Low (26 closings in 3 months).

3-month $/SF is up 1.1% versus the same 3 months last year.

Months of supply61
6.0 months · 25% of the score

Active homes divided by last month’s closings. Under 4 favors sellers. Above 6 gives buyers more choices and more room.

YoY price5
+17.6% · 20% of the score

3-month volume-weighted median versus the same 3 months a year ago. One month cannot swing this. A rising median with falling $/SF is usually mix, not appreciation.

New / closed95
2.38 · 20% of the score

New listings in 30 days versus last month’s closings. Above 1.2 means inventory is building. That usually softens the next 30–90 days.

Pending / (active + under contract)90
0.13 · 15% of the score

Pending divided by active plus under contract. Not pending divided by active alone. Low means demand is not absorbing the stock.

Price reduced90
50% · 10% of the score

Share of recent closings that had already cut the list price. High means sellers are adjusting. That is where negotiation usually appears.

DOM trend90
+34.8% · 10% of the score

Direction of days on market over the last 6 months, not the current DOM. A low score here means DOM is falling, which favors sellers even if supply is high.

Balanced

6.0 months of supply on last month’s pace (48 active ÷ 8 closings). 4.7 months on the trailing-12 pace (average 10 closings a month). These are different windows.Balanced. Buyers have choices; well-priced homes still close close to list. 62.5% of last month’s closings were below list. Days on market are up 104% from a year ago.

Homes for sale in the Model High School district →

How homes actually closed

Based on 8 closings. One sale moves these percentages by 13 points. Read the direction, not the exact share.

Above list12.5%More than 1% over list
At list25.0%Within 1% of list
Below list62.5%More than 1% under list
Price reduced50.0%Original list higher than final

Leading signals

These move before closed prices. Use them to see if the next 30–60 days look tighter or looser than last month’s closings.

Pending / (active + under contract)0.136 pending ÷ 48 (active + under contract)
New / closed2.3819 listed in 30 days vs 8 closed
Softening

New listings are outpacing sales and closed sales are already taking longer or reducing more. Expect more inventory and more negotiating room over the next 30–90 days.

If you own in Model

High confidence. 123 closings in the last 12 months.

  • Buyers search this school district. It is the competitive set for your home, more than the city median.
  • Recent closings center around $281,310. About $171 per square foot. Use that as a starting point, then adjust for your street and condition.
  • 6.0 months of supply on last month’s pace. Expect about 35 days if you price correctly. Longer than that usually means the price is high.
  • 62.5% of recent closings were below list. If you are thinking about selling in the next 90 days, look at what is active now, not just what closed. Homes for sale in the Model High School district →

What this means if you are listing in Model

  • Price to the closed median and $/SF here ($302,500, $161), not the market-wide number. This market is below the broader market by 23.4% on median.
  • With 6.0 months of supply, expect about 49 days on market if priced correctly. Longer than that usually means the market is telling you the price is high.
  • 62.5% of recent closings were below list and 50.0% of listings had already reduced. Concessions show up more on listings that have already sat.
  • Check live inventory for the actual competition before you set the number. Homes for sale in the Model High School district →

What this means if you are making an offer

  • Well-priced homes still close close to list; your better leverage is on homes that have sat.
  • Your better leverage is on homes that have been listed 30+ days or have already reduced. About 50.0% of recent closings had a price reduction.
  • This micro-market diverges from the broader market by 23%. Do not use the statewide median as your comp base.
  • Closed prices lag 30–90 days. Confirm current supply on the inventory page before you assume the temperature has not shifted.

Live inventory mix

Current listings by price band and property type. Where the competition actually is right now.

Price bands

BandListedShare
Under $300k2851.9%
$300–500k1425.9%
$500–750k814.8%
$750k–1M23.7%
$1M+23.7%

Property types

TypeListedMedian ask
Single Family Residence54$298,450

48 active, 0 under contract, 6 pending. 19 new in the last 30 days.

Median close price

Median close price · 2021-11 – 2026-10
2021-112026-10

Monthly series

Most recent months first. Medians require at least 5 closings in the month.

MonthClosedMedian$/SFDOMSale/listBelowReduced
Oct 20268$302,500$1614998.5%62.5%50.0%
Sep 202610$251,500$1715098.1%60.0%60.0%
Aug 20268$326,200$16939100.0%37.5%37.5%
Jul 202612$250,000$1652997.7%58.3%33.3%
Jun 202614$255,000$1625197.9%64.3%42.9%
May 202613$279,000$1812297.2%61.5%46.2%
Apr 20269$319,900$1745297.0%66.7%55.6%
Mar 202615$285,000$19520100.0%33.3%20.0%
Feb 202614$345,000$1604297.0%71.4%42.9%
Jan 20264n/an/an/an/an/an/a
Dec 20254n/an/an/an/an/an/a
Nov 202512$218,750$16912100.0%41.7%25.0%
Oct 20256$282,500$1732497.2%66.7%50.0%
Sep 202510$225,250$1612496.2%90.0%40.0%
Aug 20254n/an/an/an/an/an/a
Jul 202511$259,000$1772598.0%54.5%27.3%
Jun 20258$238,750$18056100.0%37.5%37.5%
May 202512$272,450$1714097.1%50.0%33.3%
Apr 202511$277,000$1643199.7%36.4%36.4%
Mar 20258$315,500$1764298.5%50.0%62.5%
Feb 202514$284,950$1623796.6%64.3%50.0%
Jan 20257$261,000$1492498.5%57.1%42.9%
Dec 20246$262,500$1582098.8%50.0%50.0%
Nov 20248$252,500$1591397.4%62.5%25.0%

Below = closed under 99% of list. Reduced = original list higher than final list.