Residential · high school district

Villa Rica High School district market report

Closed sales series. Latest median $269,950 (-7.9% YoY). Balanced on live supply.

Closed sales through 2026-10. Live inventory is a current snapshot, not the closed month. 160 active · 4 under contract · 42 pending. Total residential listings by status: 206.

Data confidence: High. 399 closings in the last 12 months. Enough closings to read a trend.

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Latest median$269,950-7.9% YoY
Months of supply5.3Balanced · 4.8 on 33/mo trailing-12
$/SF$162+2.0% YoY
DOM38+33.9% YoY
Sale/list100.0%44.8% below

Versus the broader market

Latest closed month only, not the 12-month figure above. The Georgia footprint is the macro context.

Median price-31.7%$269,950 vs $395,000 market-wide
$/SF-12.9%$162 vs $186 market-wide
DOM+10%38 days vs 34 market-wide
Sale/list+1.3 pts100.0% vs 98.7%

Opportunity score

0–100. Higher means more room for a buyer right now. Price change uses the 3-month median, not one month. Each part is scored 0–100, then weighted. Includes live supply and demand. Screening tool, not a forecast.

63
Softening

3-month volume-weighted median $302,715 (+2.9% vs same 3 months last year) on 92 closings. Latest month is $269,950. Confidence: Moderate (92 closings in 3 months).

3-month $/SF is up 1.0% versus the same 3 months last year.

Months of supply50
5.3 months · 25% of the score

Active homes divided by last month’s closings. Under 4 favors sellers. Above 6 gives buyers more choices and more room.

YoY price31
+2.9% · 20% of the score

3-month volume-weighted median versus the same 3 months a year ago. One month cannot swing this. A rising median with falling $/SF is usually mix, not appreciation.

New / closed95
2.00 · 20% of the score

New listings in 30 days versus last month’s closings. Above 1.2 means inventory is building. That usually softens the next 30–90 days.

Pending / (active + under contract)72
0.26 · 15% of the score

Pending divided by active plus under contract. Not pending divided by active alone. Low means demand is not absorbing the stock.

Price reduced67
40% · 10% of the score

Share of recent closings that had already cut the list price. High means sellers are adjusting. That is where negotiation usually appears.

DOM trend79
+23.7% · 10% of the score

Direction of days on market over the last 6 months, not the current DOM. A low score here means DOM is falling, which favors sellers even if supply is high.

Balanced

5.3 months of supply on last month’s pace (160 active ÷ 30 closings). 4.8 months on the trailing-12 pace (average 33 closings a month). These are different windows.Balanced. Buyers have choices; well-priced homes still close close to list. 44.8% of last month’s closings were below list. Days on market are up 34% from a year ago.

Homes for sale in the Villa Rica High School district →

How homes actually closed

Above list13.8%More than 1% over list
At list41.4%Within 1% of list
Below list44.8%More than 1% under list
Price reduced40.0%Original list higher than final

Leading signals

These move before closed prices. Use them to see if the next 30–60 days look tighter or looser than last month’s closings.

Pending / (active + under contract)0.2642 pending ÷ 164 (active + under contract)
New / closed2.0060 listed in 30 days vs 30 closed
Softening

New listings are outpacing sales and closed sales are already taking longer or reducing more. Expect more inventory and more negotiating room over the next 30–90 days.

If you own in Villa Rica

High confidence. 399 closings in the last 12 months.

  • Buyers search this school district. It is the competitive set for your home, more than the city median.
  • Recent closings center around $294,074. About $162 per square foot. Use that as a starting point, then adjust for your street and condition.
  • 5.3 months of supply on last month’s pace. Expect about 30 days if you price correctly. Longer than that usually means the price is high.
  • 44.8% of recent closings were below list. If you are thinking about selling in the next 90 days, look at what is active now, not just what closed. Homes for sale in the Villa Rica High School district →

What this means if you are listing in Villa Rica

  • Price to the closed median and $/SF here ($269,950, $162), not the market-wide number. This market is below the broader market by 31.7% on median.
  • With 5.3 months of supply, expect about 38 days on market if priced correctly. Longer than that usually means the market is telling you the price is high.
  • 44.8% of recent closings were below list and 40.0% of listings had already reduced. Concessions show up more on listings that have already sat.
  • Check live inventory for the actual competition before you set the number. Homes for sale in the Villa Rica High School district →

What this means if you are making an offer

  • Well-priced homes still close close to list; your better leverage is on homes that have sat.
  • Your better leverage is on homes that have been listed 30+ days or have already reduced. About 40.0% of recent closings had a price reduction.
  • This micro-market diverges from the broader market by 32%. Do not use the statewide median as your comp base.
  • Closed prices lag 30–90 days. Confirm current supply on the inventory page before you assume the temperature has not shifted.

Live inventory mix

Current listings by price band and property type. Where the competition actually is right now.

Price bands

BandListedShare
Under $300k9345.1%
$300–500k9144.2%
$500–750k146.8%
$750k–1M62.9%
$1M+21.0%

Property types

TypeListedMedian ask
Single Family Residence177$330,000
Townhouse29$264,990

160 active, 4 under contract, 42 pending. 60 new in the last 30 days.

Median close price

Median close price · 2021-11 – 2026-10
2021-112026-10

Monthly series

Most recent months first. Medians require at least 5 closings in the month.

MonthClosedMedian$/SFDOMSale/listBelowReduced
Oct 202630$269,950$16238100.0%44.8%40.0%
Sep 202624$349,950$1532499.5%45.8%33.3%
Aug 202638$298,750$16838100.0%31.6%50.0%
Jul 202644$307,738$17434100.0%32.6%47.7%
Jun 202633$309,990$1702698.5%51.6%33.3%
May 202645$305,000$15720100.0%42.9%26.7%
Apr 202634$286,000$1602299.5%47.1%26.5%
Mar 202639$280,685$15926100.0%44.7%38.5%
Feb 202627$280,000$1594099.7%48.1%40.7%
Jan 202624$277,495$16127100.0%25.0%25.0%
Dec 202538$277,500$1594698.5%57.9%52.6%
Nov 202523$285,000$16224100.0%40.9%39.1%
Oct 202546$293,200$1582899.5%47.8%39.1%
Sep 202532$284,450$16038100.0%34.4%43.8%
Aug 202533$304,945$16427100.0%39.4%39.4%
Jul 202540$306,225$1733799.1%48.7%35.0%
Jun 202547$292,500$15932100.0%29.8%42.6%
May 202537$281,000$15633100.0%37.8%51.4%
Apr 202542$304,000$16943100.0%38.1%42.9%
Mar 202530$273,500$1675299.4%46.7%46.7%
Feb 202533$285,000$16039100.0%48.5%42.4%
Jan 202528$255,200$1625998.9%50.0%42.9%
Dec 202428$297,000$1564197.7%57.1%39.3%
Nov 202423$325,000$16341100.0%43.5%60.9%

Below = closed under 99% of list. Reduced = original list higher than final list.