Residential · high school district

Sprayberry High School district market report

Closed sales series. Latest median $420,000 (-2.9% YoY). Balanced on live supply.

Closed sales through 2026-10. Live inventory is a current snapshot, not the closed month. 167 active · 6 under contract · 29 pending. Total residential listings by status: 202.

Data confidence: High. 554 closings in the last 12 months. Enough closings to read a trend.

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Latest median$420,000-2.9% YoY
Months of supply5.1Balanced · 3.6 on 46/mo trailing-12
$/SF$207-0.1% YoY
DOM21+10.5% YoY
Sale/list98.5%51.5% below

Versus the broader market

Latest closed month only, not the 12-month figure above. The Georgia footprint is the macro context.

Median price+6.3%$420,000 vs $395,000 market-wide
$/SF+11.6%$207 vs $186 market-wide
DOM-38%21 days vs 34 market-wide
Sale/list-0.1 pts98.5% vs 98.7%

Opportunity score

0–100. Higher means more room for a buyer right now. Price change uses the 3-month median, not one month. Each part is scored 0–100, then weighted. Includes live supply and demand. Screening tool, not a forecast.

63
Softening

3-month volume-weighted median $442,099 (+3.4% vs same 3 months last year) on 121 closings. Latest month is $420,000. Confidence: Moderate (121 closings in 3 months).

3-month $/SF is down 1.3% versus the same 3 months last year.

Months of supply45
5.1 months · 25% of the score

Active homes divided by last month’s closings. Under 4 favors sellers. Above 6 gives buyers more choices and more room.

YoY price29
+3.4% · 20% of the score

3-month volume-weighted median versus the same 3 months a year ago. One month cannot swing this. A rising median with falling $/SF is usually mix, not appreciation.

New / closed95
1.82 · 20% of the score

New listings in 30 days versus last month’s closings. Above 1.2 means inventory is building. That usually softens the next 30–90 days.

Pending / (active + under contract)87
0.17 · 15% of the score

Pending divided by active plus under contract. Not pending divided by active alone. Low means demand is not absorbing the stock.

Price reduced51
33% · 10% of the score

Share of recent closings that had already cut the list price. High means sellers are adjusting. That is where negotiation usually appears.

DOM trend90
+75.7% · 10% of the score

Direction of days on market over the last 6 months, not the current DOM. A low score here means DOM is falling, which favors sellers even if supply is high.

Balanced

5.1 months of supply on last month’s pace (167 active ÷ 33 closings). 3.6 months on the trailing-12 pace (average 46 closings a month). These are different windows.Balanced. Buyers have choices; well-priced homes still close close to list. 51.5% of last month’s closings were below list. Days on market are up 11% from a year ago.

Homes for sale in the Sprayberry High School district →

How homes actually closed

Above list9.1%More than 1% over list
At list39.4%Within 1% of list
Below list51.5%More than 1% under list
Price reduced33.3%Original list higher than final

Leading signals

These move before closed prices. Use them to see if the next 30–60 days look tighter or looser than last month’s closings.

Pending / (active + under contract)0.1729 pending ÷ 173 (active + under contract)
New / closed1.8260 listed in 30 days vs 33 closed
Softening

New listings are outpacing sales and closed sales are already taking longer or reducing more. Expect more inventory and more negotiating room over the next 30–90 days.

If you own in Sprayberry

High confidence. 554 closings in the last 12 months.

  • Buyers search this school district. It is the competitive set for your home, more than the city median.
  • Recent closings center around $440,233. About $199 per square foot. Use that as a starting point, then adjust for your street and condition.
  • 5.1 months of supply on last month’s pace. Expect about 16 days if you price correctly. Longer than that usually means the price is high.
  • 51.5% of recent closings were below list. If you are thinking about selling in the next 90 days, look at what is active now, not just what closed. Homes for sale in the Sprayberry High School district →

What this means if you are listing in Sprayberry

  • Price to the closed median and $/SF here ($420,000, $207), not the market-wide number. This market is above the broader market by 6.3% on median.
  • With 5.1 months of supply, expect about 21 days on market if priced correctly. Longer than that usually means the market is telling you the price is high.
  • 51.5% of recent closings were below list and 33.3% of listings had already reduced. Concessions show up more on listings that have already sat.
  • Check live inventory for the actual competition before you set the number. Homes for sale in the Sprayberry High School district →

What this means if you are making an offer

  • Well-priced homes still close close to list; your better leverage is on homes that have sat.
  • Your better leverage is on homes that have been listed 30+ days or have already reduced. About 33.3% of recent closings had a price reduction.
  • Confirm the number against the neighborhood or ZIP page, not just the city or market-wide median.
  • Closed prices lag 30–90 days. Confirm current supply on the inventory page before you assume the temperature has not shifted.

Live inventory mix

Current listings by price band and property type. Where the competition actually is right now.

Price bands

BandListedShare
Under $300k115.4%
$300–500k12159.9%
$500–750k4421.8%
$750k–1M2210.9%
$1M+42.0%

Property types

TypeListedMedian ask
Single Family Residence172$475,000
Townhouse19$315,000
Condominium11$359,500

167 active, 6 under contract, 29 pending. 60 new in the last 30 days.

Median close price

Median close price · 2021-11 – 2026-10
2021-112026-10

Monthly series

Most recent months first. Medians require at least 5 closings in the month.

MonthClosedMedian$/SFDOMSale/listBelowReduced
Oct 202633$420,000$2072198.5%51.5%33.3%
Sep 202636$469,000$2011899.9%47.2%36.1%
Aug 202652$437,500$1912399.1%48.1%36.5%
Jul 202664$457,000$1981398.9%51.6%25.0%
Jun 202664$445,000$2011499.0%50.0%20.3%
May 202663$450,000$2009100.0%34.4%28.6%
Apr 202646$470,000$19719100.0%41.3%41.3%
Mar 202658$425,000$2011699.6%39.7%31.0%
Feb 202642$417,500$19511100.0%38.1%19.0%
Jan 202618$418,500$1883799.0%50.0%50.0%
Dec 202548$431,750$2011998.2%60.9%31.3%
Nov 202530$408,500$2061298.4%60.0%23.3%
Oct 202546$432,500$2071999.1%48.9%37.0%
Sep 202546$420,000$1941498.8%52.2%28.3%
Aug 202550$429,500$2021998.4%58.0%30.0%
Jul 202544$482,500$1951399.1%50.0%38.6%
Jun 202572$447,500$2001999.1%50.0%30.6%
May 202568$422,500$20110100.0%36.8%30.9%
Apr 202546$472,500$20710100.0%34.8%19.6%
Mar 202530$447,500$2061599.6%46.7%30.0%
Feb 202536$454,000$1941499.3%44.4%25.0%
Jan 202526$410,250$1891899.1%50.0%19.2%
Dec 202439$470,000$2033098.8%53.8%43.6%
Nov 202447$425,000$1941699.1%46.8%36.2%

Below = closed under 99% of list. Reduced = original list higher than final list.