Residential · county

Newton market report

Closed sales series. Latest median $296,950 (-5.7% YoY). Buyer-leaning on live supply.

Closed sales through 2026-10. Live inventory is a current snapshot, not the closed month. 426 active · 12 under contract · 66 pending. Total residential listings by status: 504.

Data confidence: High. 994 closings in the last 12 months. Enough closings to read a trend.

Latest median$296,950-5.7% YoY
Months of supply6.5Buyer-leaning · 5.1 on 83/mo trailing-12
$/SF$151-6.1% YoY
DOM36-6.6% YoY
Sale/list99.7%43.9% below

Versus the broader market

Latest closed month only, not the 12-month figure above. The Georgia footprint is the macro context.

Median price-24.8%$296,950 vs $395,000 market-wide
$/SF-18.8%$151 vs $186 market-wide
DOM+4%36 days vs 34 market-wide
Sale/list+1.0 pts99.7% vs 98.7%

Opportunity score

0–100. Higher means more room for a buyer right now. Price change uses the 3-month median, not one month. Each part is scored 0–100, then weighted. Includes live supply and demand. Screening tool, not a forecast.

72
Buyer window

3-month volume-weighted median $301,084 (-4.8% vs same 3 months last year) on 235 closings. Latest month is $296,950. Confidence: High (235 closings in 3 months).

3-month $/SF is up 0.8% versus the same 3 months last year. Median and $/SF are moving apart. That is usually a change in what sold, not pure appreciation or depreciation.

Months of supply69
6.5 months · 25% of the score

Active homes divided by last month’s closings. Under 4 favors sellers. Above 6 gives buyers more choices and more room.

YoY price58
-4.8% · 20% of the score

3-month volume-weighted median versus the same 3 months a year ago. One month cannot swing this. A rising median with falling $/SF is usually mix, not appreciation.

New / closed86
1.68 · 20% of the score

New listings in 30 days versus last month’s closings. Above 1.2 means inventory is building. That usually softens the next 30–90 days.

Pending / (active + under contract)90
0.15 · 15% of the score

Pending divided by active plus under contract. Not pending divided by active alone. Low means demand is not absorbing the stock.

Price reduced90
50% · 10% of the score

Share of recent closings that had already cut the list price. High means sellers are adjusting. That is where negotiation usually appears.

DOM trend39
+1.1% · 10% of the score

Direction of days on market over the last 6 months, not the current DOM. A low score here means DOM is falling, which favors sellers even if supply is high.

Buyer-leaning

6.5 months of supply on last month’s pace (426 active ÷ 66 closings). 5.1 months on the trailing-12 pace (average 83 closings a month). These are different windows.Buyers have more room, especially on homes that have sat past 30 days. 43.9% of last month’s closings were below list. Days on market are down 7% from a year ago.

Homes for sale in Newton County, GA →

How homes actually closed

Above list16.7%More than 1% over list
At list39.4%Within 1% of list
Below list43.9%More than 1% under list
Price reduced50.0%Original list higher than final

Leading signals

These move before closed prices. Use them to see if the next 30–60 days look tighter or looser than last month’s closings.

Pending / (active + under contract)0.1566 pending ÷ 438 (active + under contract)
New / closed1.68111 listed in 30 days vs 66 closed
Softening

New listings are outpacing sales and closed sales are already taking longer or reducing more. Expect more inventory and more negotiating room over the next 30–90 days.

If you own in Newton

High confidence. 994 closings in the last 12 months.

  • The county is context, not a price for your house. A county median blends starter homes and estates.
  • County median is $296,950. Use your city, school district, or subdivision for the number. Use the county to see if the broader market is tightening or loosening.
  • 6.5 months of supply countywide, 5.1 on the trailing-12 pace. The heading is softening. That tells you about leverage, not your home’s value.
  • Before you list or refinance against a number, pull the city and neighborhood pages and the live inventory. Homes for sale in Newton County, GA →

What this means if you are listing in Newton

  • Price to the closed median and $/SF here ($296,950, $151), not the market-wide number. This market is below the broader market by 24.8% on median.
  • With 6.5 months of supply, expect about 36 days on market if priced correctly. Longer than that usually means the market is telling you the price is high.
  • 43.9% of recent closings were below list and 50.0% of listings had already reduced. Concessions show up more on listings that have already sat.
  • Check live inventory for the actual competition before you set the number. Homes for sale in Newton County, GA →

What this means if you are making an offer

  • Supply is elevated. You have more room than in a seller’s market, especially on homes past 30 days.
  • Your better leverage is on homes that have been listed 30+ days or have already reduced. About 50.0% of recent closings had a price reduction.
  • This micro-market diverges from the broader market by 25%. Do not use the statewide median as your comp base.
  • Closed prices lag 30–90 days. Confirm current supply on the inventory page before you assume the temperature has not shifted.

Live inventory mix

Current listings by price band and property type. Where the competition actually is right now.

Price bands

BandListedShare
Under $300k17835.3%
$300–500k25751.0%
$500–750k509.9%
$750k–1M91.8%
$1M+102.0%

Property types

TypeListedMedian ask
Single Family Residence498$335,000
Townhouse4$274,995
Condominium2$317,000

426 active, 12 under contract, 66 pending. 111 new in the last 30 days.

Median close price

Median close price · 2021-11 – 2026-10
2021-112026-10

Monthly series

Most recent months first. Medians require at least 5 closings in the month.

MonthClosedMedian$/SFDOMSale/listBelowReduced
Oct 202666$296,950$1513699.7%43.9%50.0%
Sep 202670$299,444$15221100.0%42.9%35.7%
Aug 202699$305,000$1563698.9%50.5%46.5%
Jul 202693$300,000$15131100.0%36.6%40.9%
Jun 202686$292,944$14940100.0%34.1%43.0%
May 202686$300,000$16321100.0%38.4%38.4%
Apr 202691$320,000$14836100.0%37.8%36.3%
Mar 202696$317,500$15325100.0%41.1%34.4%
Feb 202666$305,000$15244100.0%42.4%45.5%
Jan 202657$307,000$15435100.0%40.4%35.1%
Dec 202597$302,000$1554399.2%47.4%47.4%
Nov 202587$295,000$1443598.7%52.9%43.7%
Oct 202586$315,000$16038100.0%43.0%50.0%
Sep 202582$318,000$1412999.6%43.9%41.5%
Aug 202593$316,260$15443100.0%47.3%47.3%
Jul 2025108$315,500$15335100.0%41.7%48.1%
Jun 202589$340,000$16231100.0%40.4%41.6%
May 202594$291,250$16128100.0%38.3%38.3%
Apr 2025107$315,000$15433100.0%39.6%46.7%
Mar 202585$315,000$15830100.0%40.0%38.8%
Feb 202568$322,500$1494999.2%48.5%51.5%
Jan 202560$324,450$1564899.5%46.7%48.3%
Dec 202477$310,000$15839100.0%39.0%42.9%
Nov 202468$299,500$1603299.8%42.6%36.8%

Below = closed under 99% of list. Reduced = original list higher than final list.